PGA Championship 2024: 55/1, 35/1, 25/1 & 14/1 tournament tips

The second major of 2024 takes place this week as Valhalla Golf Club hosts the 2024 edition of the US PGA Championship Masters.

Joe Champion landed three of his four tips for the Masters earlier this year and he’s back with five options for the PGA Championship.

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US PGA Championship 2024 Predictions & Betting Tips

Almost a decade has passed since Rory McIlroy last won a Major championship but many will feel that the stars are aligning for the Northern Irishman as he prepares to tee it up at the US PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky.

Jack Nicklaus-designed Valhalla has hosted this tournament on three previous occasions – in 1996 and 2000 when Mark Brooks and Tiger Woods emerged triumphant from playoffs, then most significantly in 2014 when McIlroy edged out Phil Mickelson by a solitary shot.

When McIlroy won his fourth Major in Kentucky aged just 25, it was unfathomable to think he would still be sat on the same number ten years later.

However, after a host of near-misses, the now-35-year-old will arrive at Valhalla as confident as he’s ever been following back-to-back PGA Tour victories.

The first, alongside his great friend Shane Lowry at the Zurich Classic, served as a small fillip ahead of the tougher tests to come but the second, a brilliant five-shot win at the Wells Fargo Championship last week, will have made all his rivals sit up and take notice.

US PGA Championship best bet – Brooks Koepka 14/1

McIlroy found top gear in spectacular fashion at Quail Hollow on Sunday, producing an eight-under-par run from the eighth hole to the 15th to completely blow Xander Schauffele’s title hopes to pieces.

And now he returns to Valhalla, a course which he knows better than most and which suits his game down to the ground.

Valhalla is a brutal 7,609-yard par-71 with plenty of risk-reward holes. Given its length, this tournament seems likely to come down to a battle of long, straight drivers, although there is always hope for an outlier to putt their way into contention.

McIlroy looked a great bet when he was 12-1 last week but his Wells Fargo triumph had the bookmakers running for cover. At a best-priced 7-1, it’s harder to justify backing someone who still has to prove he can get over the line in a Major after a decade of disappointment.

Majors or otherwise, Scottie Scheffler has no problems getting over the winning line as form figures of 1-1-2-1-1, including a second win at the Masters, illustrate.

Scheffler has taken time off ahead of the birth of his first child and while Baby Scheffler reportedly entered the world over the weekend, that’s far from ideal preparation for a Major championship.

He might just be good enough to overcome that handicap but he’s worth taking on and the market suggests that McIlroy is most likely to serve it up to him.

However, in the city where the legendary Muhammad Ali was born, it’s Brooks Koepka who looks the better bet as he bids to deliver another knockout blow in pursuit of a sixth Major title.

Koepka has made this tournament his own in recent seasons, winning it in 2018 and 2019, finishing as a runner-up in 2021 and then regaining the Wanamaker Trophy with a brilliant display at Oak Hill a year ago, holding off Scheffler and Viktor Hovland in the process.

The 34-year-old Floridian went into the Masters in moderate form on the LIV Tour and duly finished 45th but he’s knuckled down since, finishing ninth at LIV Adelaide before winning the Singapore event.

As a five-time Major champion, Koepka’s ability to cope with the pressure of the biggest stages is unrivalled and his long-game, featuring an ideal blend of driving distance and accuracy, makes him a great fit for Valhalla.

US PGA Championship each-way bet 1 – Bryson DeChambeau 25/1

Jon Rahm is drifting out to a backable price – he’s been solid in his debut LIV season without winning an event – but Bryson DeChambeau is a more appealing option from the rebel circuit.

DeChambeau finished fourth in last season’s US PGA before going on to win twice on the LIV Tour, then he started this season with results of 25-9-4-6-7 before finishing sixth at the Masters.

The 30-year-old, a US Open champion at Winged Foot in 2020, has underwhelmed in the two most recent LIV events but neither Adelaide or Singapore were ideal tracks for his gung-ho style, which should be seen to much better use at Valhalla.

DeChambeau also has several wins in states which border Kentucky, including on a Nicklaus design at the 2018 Memorial Tournament. He clearly relishes competing in this part of the United States.

US PGA Championship each-way bet 2 – Max Homa 25/1

Max Homa’s underwhelming Majors record took a significant turn in the right direction at the Masters, where he finished third behind Scheffler having looked a Green Jacket contender heading into the back nine, and there’s every chance he builds on that this week.

Homa struggled the week after the Masters, finishing 55th at the Heritage, but there was a lot to like about his return to action at Quail Hollow, where he finished in a share of eighth place.

The 33-year-old, a six-time winner of regulation PGA Tour events, is becoming increasingly comfortable in Major arenas.

US PGA Championship each-way bet 3 – Tommy Fleetwood 35/1

No Englishman has won the US PGA since Jim Barnes claimed the first two in 1916 and 1919 – when the tournament was a match play competition – but Tommy Fleetwood has a chance of emulating his compatriot over a century later.

The popular Southport man was a runner-up behind Koepka in the 2018 US Open at Erin Hills and he once again showcased his appetite for a long, difficult golf course when third at the Masters last month.

Fleetwood has been generally solid in all departments recently and he warmed up for another crack at Major glory by finishing 13th at the Wells Fargo.

US PGA Championship each-way bet 4 – Byeong-Hun An 55/1

Byeong-Hun An also impressed in Charlotte last week, firing a five-under-par final round to finish third behind McIlroy and Schauffele, and the long-driving Korean, who is enjoying a career resurgence since switching to the long putter, is an outsider worth keeping an eye on.

An was 16th at the Masters and fourth at the Byron Nelson and it’s not impossible that he contends again this week.

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