Premier League Corners and Cards Predictions - Gameweek 3
Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.
We’re bringing you Premier League corners and cards predictions every week this season, just as you asked for! A recent feedback survey revealed that you want more betting tips in the hidden gems of the corners and cards markets, so we’ve put the time and effort into researching it.
We don’t blame you for wanting more of these betting tips. They offer some excellent value, but the enormous amount of research necessary puts a lot of people off. Fortunately for you, doing the heavy lifting is exactly what we’re here for. We’ve painstakingly conducted all the research for you, and rather than wade through hundreds of statistics you can simply visit us every week and get our corners and cards betting tips and the reasoning and statistics that back them up.
After a difficult start in gameweek one we managed to put in an excellent showing last weekend, winning seven of our eleven tips and bringing in a profit of 3 points (based on 1 point per bet stake.) You can see last weekend’s predictions here.
Read More: Premier League Gameweek 3 Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
Bournemouth vs Everton
We start off on the south coast as Eddie Howe’s in form Cherries host an Everton side also looking strong. In the corners market it’s looking much more promising towards the hosts, who won seven corners in their only home game of the season so far. Last season Bournemouth averaged 6.92 corners per game at home against the bottom 14, and they’re facing an Everton side who conceded 5.92 corners per away game when facing their fellow bottom 14 sides. They’re looking even more shaky at the back under the attack minded approach of Marco Silva too, so backing Bournemouth Over 5.5 Team Corners at 4/5 looks a great bet.
Read our full match preview for Bournemouth vs Everton here.
Huddersfield vs Cardiff
It’s looking increasingly likely that we’ll be seeing these two sides battling it out at the bottom of the table later on this season, but the two relegation candidates will be looking to get a leg up on one another on Saturday. Despite two heavy defeats, Huddersfield look the more likely side to put up a fight, and we’re expecting them to attack Cardiff on Saturday. The Terriers home games against the bottom 14 last season averaged 10.23 corners per game, while Cardiff saw 10.65 corners per away game in their promotion winning campaign last term. Both of these sides look to benefit from their set pieces, and with Cardiff seeing ten or more corners in both their Premier League games so far a bet of Over 9.5 Total Corners at 8/11 looks good value.
As we mentioned, we’re expecting Huddersfield to have the majority of the chances. Cardiff were woeful in their first away game of the season, and David Wagner’s men averaged an impressive 6.31 corners per game when at home against the bottom 14 last season. Cardiff, despite winning promotion, still conceded six corners per game away from home last term, and in their only Premier League away day of the season they allowed Brighton seven corners, so backing Huddersfield Over 5.5 Team Corners at 5/6 looks promising too.
The value doesn’t end there though. Huddersfield averaged 2.38 more corners per game than their opposition when facing the bottom 14 at the John Smiths Stadium, whereas Cardiff saw their opponents have an average of 1.35 more corners per game than them on their travels last season. The Welsh outfit shipped three more corners than Brighton in their gameweek 1 away match, so backing Huddersfield -1.5 Asian Corners at 1.95 is our final bet for the match.
Read our full match preview for Huddersfield vs Cardiff here.
Southampton vs Leicester
It may surprise some people to learn that Southampton, despite their often negative outlook on their matches, are actually involved in some of the most corner heavy matches in the Premier League. Their opening weekend home game against Burnley saw 13 corners in total, and their home games against the bottom 14 last season averaged 11.85 corners per game. Shockingly, this is the second highest in the league, behind only Chelsea. Leicester’s trips away complement this perfectly as well, with The Foxes away games at the bottom 14 averaging 12.15 corners per game, a tally higher than any other team. This makes Over 11 Total Corners at 6/5 look fantastic value.
It’s The Saints who we’re expecting to get the majority of these though. The hosts averaged 7.92 corners when at home against the bottom 14, which is second only to Chelsea. They won an average of four more corners than their opposition in these matches, while Leicester conceded 6.46 corners per game when visiting the bottom 14. The Foxes only managed to win one corner to their opponents’ nine last weekend against Wolves, so backing Southampton -1 Asian Corners at 1.800 looks very promising indeed.
Read our full match preview for Southampton vs Leicester here.
Liverpool vs Brighton
Saturday’s evening kickoff sees the rampant Liverpool hosting a Brighton side who ended last term with the worst away record in the top flight, and their subservience even shows in the corner tallies. Brighton averaged 5.17 corners per game less than their opponents when visiting the top six last season, while Liverpool won 5.21 more corners than their visiting bottom 14 opposition. Brighton’s 2-0 defeat against Bournemouth on gameweek one saw them concede eight corners and win just two, so a Liverpool -5 Asian Corners at 1.900 is looking good value for money.
Sticking to our prediction that Brighton will struggle to get out of their own half, we’re looking at Brighton Under 2.5 Team Corners at 5/6. The Seagulls have won just five corners this season and only two in their only away game, and last term they averaged a mere 2.33 corners per game when visiting the top six. In fact, they only managed more than two corners in half of their trips to the big guns, and with Liverpool’s average of 2.5 corners conceded per home game against the bottom 14 being the second best in the league we really like the look of this bet.
Brighton try to make up some of their deficiencies with an excellent disciplinary record though, and this gets even more impressive when away from home against the big teams. None of their trips to the Premier League big six saw more than two cards dished out last season, and these matches averaged just 1.33 cards per game. Brighton’s overall away average of 1.79 cards per game makes them the only side to see fewer than two cards per away game in the entire league, and Liverpool’s average of 2.42 cards per home game last season is the lowest in the top flight for that particular statistic. Backing Under 2.5 Cards at 5/4 is fantastic value here.
We’re ending a football filled Saturday with a flurry of bets here, the next of which focuses on Brighton’s personal disciplinary record. The Seagulls only picked up more than one booking in two of their six trips away to the top six last season and averaged just one card per game on the road. Liverpool saw their opponents pick up an average of 1.47 cards per game at Anfield, so odds of 11/8 for Brighton Under 1.5 Team Cards looks great value too.
Read our full match preview for Liverpool vs Brighton here.
Watford vs Crystal Palace
We return to the corners market for one of the early Premier League clashes on Sunday. Crystal Palace have won 11 corners so far this term and conceded 12, which includes their home match against Liverpool. The Eagles averaged 0.46 more corners per game than the opposition when away against the bottom 14, which is the 7th best in the top flight (behind the big six). Meanwhile, Watford’s tally of 0.46 more corners per game than the opposition when at home to the bottom 14 is the 3rd lowest in the Premier League, so backing Crystal Palace 0.0 Asian Corners at 2.00 could be a good move.
Read our full match preview for Watford vs Crystal Palace here.
Fulham vs Burnley
Burnley return from Greece in time to face the newly promoted Fulham on Sunday afternoon, and we’re expecting another tight-lipped affair from The Clarets. Sean Dyche’s men averaged just 3.62 corners away from home against the bottom 14 last season, which happens to be the lowest tally in the league. Meanwhile, Fulham only conceded 3.13 corners per home game in their promotion winning Championship campaign last term, so Burnley Under 4.5 Team Corners looks a good value bet at 4/6.
We’re not expecting Fulham to be much better on the corner winning front though. Their home matches in the Championship last season averaged just 9.43 corners per game, and so far in the top flight they have averaged 8.5 per match. Burnley’s trips to the bottom 14 last season saw 9.77 corners per game on average, and while they have seen ten corners per game so far this season it’s worth noting that eight of those came against the corner-happy Southampton on the opening week of the Premier League. Odds of 11/10 for Under 10 Total Corners looks very worthwhile looking at.
Newcastle vs Chelsea
Maurizio Sarri hopes to continue his winning start to life at Chelsea at St James’ Park on Sunday, and we’re expecting a relative drought of corners here. Chelsea’s away games against the bottom 14 last season averaged a Premier League low of just 7.64 corners per match, and Newcastle’s hostings of the top six saw 8.67 corners per game – The second lowest in the league. That trend has continued this season too, with Chelsea seeing just 6.5 corners per game and Newcastle averaging a total of 9 per game. This makes Under 10 Total Corners at 1/1 look a great bet, and there is plenty more value to be had on Sunday afternoon.
Next up is a more precise prediction of the final corner tally. Both of Chelsea’s games this season have seen between six and eight total corners, and last season three of Newcastle’s six home games against the top six fell into the same range. Chelsea’s 7.64 average corners per game away to the bottom 14 also falls into this range, so backing Total Corners: 6-8 at 12/5 looks fantastic value for money.
Newcastle’s surprisingly good record against the top six last season obviously didn’t originate from the danger from corner kicks. The Magpies averaged just 2.5 corners per game at home against the top six last season, which was the second lowest tally in the league. Chelsea, meanwhile, conceded just 3.57 corners per away game against the bottom 14, and with Chelsea conceding just three corners so far this season it looks like this trend is set to continue. Considering Newcastle have managed more than four corners in just one of their last seven home games against the big six, backing Newcastle Under 4.5 Team Corners at 4/6 looks great value.
Read our full match preview for Newcastle vs Chelsea here.
Manchester United vs Tottenham
Gameweek three of the Premier League season ends with a high profile clash at Old Trafford, and fortunately there looks to be a substantial amount of value in the corners and cards markets. First up we can address a potential lack of corner action, with just 20% of both Manchester United’s and Spurs’ respective home and away games against the other top six sides seeing 11 or more corners. The hosts saw an average of 9.8 corners per game at home against the other five teams, while Spurs’ tally was even lower at 9.2 corners per game when on the road against the big clubs. Both teams have seen an average of 7.5 corners per game this season too, so odds of 8/11 for Under 10.5 Total Corners looks good value.
Tottenham in particular are looking overvalued by the bookies here. The visitors won more than four corners in just two of their five away games against the top six last season, averaging four corners per game in these matches. Despite this, the price for Tottenham Under 4.5 Team Corners is an attractive 11/10, which we think is well worth a shot.
It’s not just corners that Pocchettino’s men shy away from either; their disciplinary record is admirable. They averaged just 1.74 cards per away game last season, and that drops down to 1.4 cards per game when visiting the top six. They picked up more than two cards in just one of their five trips to the top six, and Manchester United didn’t see a single one of the big six (apart from themselves) pick up more than two cards when they visited Old Trafford. So far this season Manchester United have seen the opposition pick up just one card apiece, and Spurs have received two bookings in their two games. Backing Spurs Under 2.5 Team Cards at 4/6 looks fantastic value.
We end the weekend with the nicely priced offering of Antonio Valencia to be booked at 5/1. The Manchester United right back is still a doubt for this game but will definitely play if deemed fit enough. If he doesn’t make the grade and is left out again our bet will be void at bet365 so we will get a refund. If he does play, however, we’re getting some fantastic value. The Ecuadorian picked up a booking in three of his five home games against the Premier League top six last season and will be up against Dele Alli, who happened to be Spurs’ most fouled player last season with 2.33 fouls committed against him per game. Both have occasionally fiery temperaments as well, so a 5/1 offering looks very attractive.
Read our full match preview for Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur here.
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