Statman Dave's England vs Germany predictions
Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.
Statman Dave is back for another Euro 2020 Round of 16 preview and this one is a big one.
The country will stand still for England vs Germany at Wembley on Tuesday and, with a relatively favourable path to the final set, both teams will know a win here would give them a great chance of going all the way.
Check out all of Statman Dave’s expert insight and analysis below and if you’re looking for our betting tips make sure to check out our Euro 2020 predictions.
Statman Dave’s England vs Germany preview
While Germany have blown hot and cold at the tournament so far, this is still a really daunting task for England.
Gareth Southgate’s side were a pretty poor watch in the group stages and there’s been plenty of discontent around the team’s play in the final third in particular.
However, I think there’s a decent chance that England played the group stages with a difficult first knockout tie in their minds, hence having the brakes on. England may well have used the group stages as tune-up games for the knockout stages and could well be better prepared for this game than many people are expecting.
The problem with that, though, is it’s difficult to learn to play without the ball for long periods with the fixtures that England have had. When they have the ball, they know how to avoid overcommitting and how to create space for Raheem Sterling to exploit, but do they know how to stop Toni Kroos’ getting on the ball and dictating the game for long periods? I’m not so sure.
The hope will be that Kalvin Phillips – who pressed more than anybody else in the tournament through the group stages – can hassle and harry and stop Joachim Lowe’s side finding their rhythm in possession, but that’s an almighty ask.
Ultimately, I think England’s approach to the group stages will make much more sense in hindsight and I think we’ll see them be much closer to Germany’s level than many will expect.
Having said that, Germany have so much experience and demonstrated against Hungary how they can change games with their quality off the bench. I think Germany win the game in extra time. Harry Maguire, who picked up 11 yellows in the league last season, could get himself booked against one of Germany’s tricky ball-carriers too.
Statman Dave’s best bet: Germany to win in ET & Harry Maguire to be booked
More betting news:
Euro 2020 live blog and in-play betting tips
Statman Dave’s France vs Switzerland predictions
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