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FC Porto to Win
vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto have won 11 of their last 13 home games, with two draws, and have a perfect home record this season in Europe with five wins in as many games. The Dragoes should be able to maintain that home record by seeing off Forest, who lost in Portugal during the league phase and had to dig deep against Midtjylland in the previous round.

Fiorentina to Win
at Crystal Palace
Reason for tip
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Fiorentina claimed a 1-0 win at Verona at the weekend, and they can edge out a Crystal Palace side that have struggled to put away chances in the knockout rounds. They lost the xG battle in their first-leg clash with Zrinjski, while they needed extra-time to beat Larnaca.

Shakhtar Donetsk to Win
vs AZ Alkmaar
Reason for tip
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Shakhtar Donetsk have won four of their last five home games while AZ have lost four of their last five away games. The Dutch club have also lost three of their last five away Conference League games.

SC Freiburg and Both Teams To Score
vs Celta Vigo
Reason for tip
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Freiburg’s home European form is impressive with nine straight wins in Baden-Wurttemberg. They’ve also won six of their last nine home games and can claim a first leg win before they head to Spain for the return fixture. However, the hosts failed to hold on to a 2-0 lead at home on Saturday and Celta should be able to get on the scoresheet in Germany.

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Richard Riakporhe to win by KO, TKO or DQ
vs Jeamie Tshikeva
Reason for tip

Since moving up from cruiserweight, Riakporhe has fought twice at heavyweight and has won both of those contests by stoppage. He can take the British title away from Jeamie TKV, who has been stopped twice in an 11-fight career, without needing the judges.

Over 6.5 rounds
Conor Benn vs Regis Prograis
Reason for tip

Conor Benn is the huge favourite but veteran Regis Prograis won’t go down easily. Rougarou has a 30-3 record and has never been stopped, while Benn’s last four fights have all gone the distance. Prograis is a former world champion and can at least reach the latter stages of this fight so over 6.5 rounds looks a solid bet.

Tyson Fury to win in rounds 7-12
vs Arslanbek Makhmudov
Reason for tip

Tyson Fury makes his return from retirement on Saturday but he’s only been out of the ring for around 16 months and ring rust isn’t a concern. Fury should be too much for a one-dimensional Arslanbek Makhmudov  and he can win inside the distance. Fury doesn’t have the kind of power that will allow him to just blow the 36-year-old away in one visit but he should be able to pick Makhmudov off as the rounds progress and he can force a stoppage in the second half of the fight.

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Tyson Fury to win in rounds 7-12
vs Arslanbek Makhmudov
Reason for tip

Tyson Fury makes his return from retirement on Saturday but he’s only been out of the ring for around 16 months and ring rust isn’t a concern. Fury should be too much for a one-dimensional Arslanbek Makhmudov  and he can win inside the distance. Fury doesn’t have the kind of power that will allow him to just blow the 36-year-old away in one visit but he should be able to pick Makhmudov off as the rounds progress and he can force a stoppage in the second half of the fight.

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Under 236.5 Points
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Reason for tip

The Heat put up just 95 points in a defeat in Toronto two days ago, and their All-Star Norm Powell is questionable after featuring in that game. A lot of shooting broke right for the Raptors in their 121-95 win, and Heat coach Erik Spoelstra’s calling card is making adjustments in play-off series. The Raptors’ offensive options are far from consistent, but they remain excellent defensively, so it’s hard to justify this line being set 20 points above Tuesday’s final total.

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Under 236.5 Points
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Reason for tip

The Heat put up just 95 points in a defeat in Toronto two days ago, and their All-Star Norm Powell is questionable after featuring in that game. A lot of shooting broke right for the Raptors in their 121-95 win, and Heat coach Erik Spoelstra’s calling card is making adjustments in play-off series. The Raptors’ offensive options are far from consistent, but they remain excellent defensively, so it’s hard to justify this line being set 20 points above Tuesday’s final total.

New York Knicks -5.5
vs Boston Celtics
Reason for tip

The Knicks have won three straight, and they meet a Celtics side that has a string of key names on their injury report. With three games separating these sides in the standings, the Celtics don’t have much need for the win here, but the Knicks are desperate to hold off the Cleveland Cavaliers and hold onto third place.

Brooklyn Nets Money Line
vs Indiana Pacers
Reason for tip

Indiana laying a bucket on the road is too much respect for a team that is also 18-61. And yet this is more about price than team quality. The Nets have been ugly, but the market is likely overreacting to their recent disaster against Atlanta, which came with 20 turnovers. While it is easy to be scared off, this is a volatile stat and not something you should automatically project forward. In games between bad teams, the home dog offers the most value, given that the favourite has little motivation to win.

Under 227.0 Points
Philadelphia 76ers at Houston Rockets
Reason for tip

The Rockets are rolling with their focus on climing the West standings in the final week. They’ve been stellar defensively, and they host a Philly side that is without former All-Star Joel Embiid, while the Sixers have losted 102 and 93 points in back-to-back meetings with contenders. The Rockets are great defensively, but a little stodgy offensively, so the under appeals here.

Under 225.5 Points
LA Lakers at Golden State Warriors
Reason for tip

The Lakers are without their top-two offensive options in Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves, but those two players are their biggest defensive liabilities. The Warriors are looking competitive again with Steph Curry back in the side, but a more defensively focused Lakers side will be aiming to keep this close and steal a key win.

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Under 236.5 Points
Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Reason for tip

The Heat put up just 95 points in a defeat in Toronto two days ago, and their All-Star Norm Powell is questionable after featuring in that game. A lot of shooting broke right for the Raptors in their 121-95 win, and Heat coach Erik Spoelstra’s calling card is making adjustments in play-off series. The Raptors’ offensive options are far from consistent, but they remain excellent defensively, so it’s hard to justify this line being set 20 points above Tuesday’s final total.

New York Knicks -5.5
vs Boston Celtics
Reason for tip

The Knicks have won three straight, and they meet a Celtics side that has a string of key names on their injury report. With three games separating these sides in the standings, the Celtics don’t have much need for the win here, but the Knicks are desperate to hold off the Cleveland Cavaliers and hold onto third place.

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Min Woo Lee each-way
The Masters
Reason for tip

Min Woo Lee has long looked to have the tools for this test and has finished in the top 12 in four of his last five PGA Tour appearances. The power-packed Perth man was 14th on his Masters debut in 2022 and his touch around the greens will be a massive asset this weekend.

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Ludvig Aberg each-way
The Masters
Reason for tip

Ludvig Aberg is arguably the form player on the PGA Tour, finishing third, fifth and fifth in his last three starts, and he is made for the Masters, as course form figures of 2-7 underline.

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Xander Schauffele each-way
The Masters
Reason for tip

Few boast a better Augusta skill set than Xander Schauffele, who can capitalise on an ideal preparation to claim a first Masters victory. Schauffele’s 2024 campaign, in which he won the US PGA Championship and the Open, was always going to be tough to beat, and he never found top gear last season after suffering a rib injury early in the campaign. However, he was still able to finish eighth at Augusta on just his fifth start of the year, and signed off 2025 with victory in the Baycurrent Classic in Japan.

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Nicolai Hojgaard each-way
The Masters
Reason for tip

Nicolai Hojgaard returns to Augusta on an impressive run of results, finishing third in Phoenix, sixth in the Cognizant Classic and was a runner-up behind Gary Woodland in the Texas Open last time out.

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FC Porto Over 1.5 Team Goals
vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto have scored at least twice in six successive games, while Forest have conceded two or more goals in three of their last six road games.

Fiorentina Double Chance (Win or Draw)
at Crystal Palace
Reason for tip
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Fiorentina are bidding to make the semi-finals of the Conference League for the fourth time, and they head into this clash unbeaten in five. La Viola have won four of those games, and they’ve only lost two of their last 11 matches. Crystal Palace have struggled past easier tests in this competition, and they lost their only other clash with a side from Europe’s top five leagues.

Bologna Double Chance (Win or Draw)
vs Aston Villa
Reason for tip
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Villa edged out a 1-0 win at Villa Park when these sides met in the first batch of league phase games but that game was incredibly close. With home advantage, Bologna can at least avoid defeat as they have just two losses in their last 112 games and have just one defeat in 12 Europa League games this season.

FSV Mainz 05 to Win
vs Strasbourg
Reason for tip
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Mainz have won five of their last six home matches in Europe while Strasbourg have lost two and won only one of their four games against Bundesliga sides in continental competition.

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William Carvalho To Score Anytime
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest
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Porto forward William Gomes has scored in three of his last four and he can add to his three Europa League goals with an anytime effort against Forest. 

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William Carvalho To Score Anytime
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto forward William Gomes has scored in three of his last four and he can add to his three Europa League goals with an anytime effort against Forest. 

Jonathan Rowe To Score Anytime
Bologna vs Aston Villa
Reason for tip
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Bologna’s English forward Jonathan Rowe has two goals in his last three games, including one against Roma in the previous round, and has been more effective in Europe than he has domestically in attack – with three goals and two assists in 10 games. He stands out as a value pick for an anytime goal.

Igor Matanovic To Score Anytime
SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo
Reason for tip
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Freiburg striker Igor Matanovic has scored four goals in his last three starts for club and country.

Paul Nebel To Score Anytime
FSV Mainz 05 vs Strasbourg
Reason for tip
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Midfielder Paul Nebel has scored three goals in his last four matches for Mainz.

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FC Porto 2-1
FC Porto vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto have won 11 of their last 13 home games, with two draws, and have a perfect home record this season in Europe with five wins in as many games. The Dragoes should be able to maintain that home record by seeing off Forest, who lost in Portugal during the league phase and had to dig deep against Midtjylland in the previous round. Porto have kept just two clean sheets in their last eight games and they’ve conceded in three of their five home Europa League games, while Forest have scored in seven consecutive away games. The hosts have scored at least twice in six successive games and they can take a 2-1 lead to the City Ground when these teams meet in the second leg.

Draw 1-1
Bologna vs Aston Villa
Reason for tip
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Villa edged out a 1-0 win at Villa Park when these sides met in the first batch of league phase games but that game was incredibly close. With home advantage, Bologna can keep this tie alive and a 1-1 draw is the correct score pick – as the Italian outfit have scored exactly one goal in five of their last six home games and Villa have scored six goals across their last six away from home.

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SC Freiburg and Both Teams To Score
vs Celta Vigo
Reason for tip
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Freiburg’s home European form is impressive with nine straight wins in Baden-Wurttemberg. They’ve also won six of their last nine home games and can claim a first leg win before they head to Spain for the return fixture. However, the hosts failed to hold on to a 2-0 lead at home on Saturday and Celta should be able to get on the scoresheet in Germany.

FC Porto and Both Teams To Score
vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto have won 11 of their last 13 home games, with two draws, and have a perfect home record this season in Europe with five wins in as many games. The Dragoes should be able to maintain that home record by seeing off Forest, who lost in Portugal during the league phase and had to dig deep against Midtjylland in the previous round. Porto have kept just two clean sheets in their last eight games and they’ve conceded in three of their five home Europa League games, while Forest have scored in seven consecutive away games. 

Shakhtar Donetsk and Both Teams To Score
vs AZ Alkmaar
Reason for tip
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Shakhtar Donetsk have won four of their last five home games while AZ have lost four of their last five away games. The Dutch club have also lost three of their last five away Conference League games but they have scored in nine of their last 10 overall and can strike in defeat in Krakow. 

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Both Teams To Score
SC Freiburg vs Celta Vigo
Reason for tip
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Both teams have scored in Freiburg’s last three matches and also in six of Celta’s last seven contests. The visitors seem unable to keep clean sheets at the moment while the hosts failed to hold on to a 2-0 lead at home on Saturday.

Both Teams To Score
Bologna vs Aston Villa
Reason for tip
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Villa are yet to draw a blank in Europe and they have scored in 11 of their last 12 games overall. Bologna have also scored in 11 of their last 12 games and they have scored in each of their last eight Europa League fixtures so goals at both ends looks likely.

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FC Porto to Win
vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto have won 11 of their last 13 home games, with two draws, and have a perfect home record this season in Europe with five wins in as many games. The Dragoes should be able to maintain that home record by seeing off Forest, who lost in Portugal during the league phase and had to dig deep against Midtjylland in the previous round.

Both Teams To Score
Bologna vs Aston Villa
Reason for tip
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Villa are yet to draw a blank in Europe and they have scored in 11 of their last 12 games overall. Bologna have also scored in 11 of their last 12 games and they have scored in each of their last eight Europa League fixtures so goals at both ends looks likely.

SC Freiburg to Win
vs Celta Vigo
Reason for tip
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Freiburg’s home European form is impressive with nine straight wins in Baden-Wurttemberg. They’ve also won six of their last nine home games and can claim a first leg win before they head to Spain for the return fixture.

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FC Porto to Win
vs Nottingham Forest
Reason for tip
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Porto have won 11 of their last 13 home games, with two draws, and have a perfect home record this season in Europe with five wins in as many games. The Dragoes should be able to maintain that home record by seeing off Forest, who lost in Portugal during the league phase and had to dig deep against Midtjylland in the previous round.

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Bologna vs Aston Villa Shots On Target Treble Tip

Ollie Watkins To Have 1+ Shots On Target

Reason for tip
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Villa’s Ollie Watkins has found a bit of form after what has been a disappointing season by his standards with two goals and an assist in his last four games. Watkins averages 1.6 shots per-game in this competition and has an accuracy rate of around 50%, he can at least test the keeper on Thursday.

John McGinn To Have 1+ Shots On Target

Reason for tip
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John McGinn scored for Villa against Lille in the previous round and can at least record an attempt on target in Italy. McGinn averages 0.9 shots on target per 90 minutes for Villa in Europe.

Jonathan Rowe To Have 1+ Shots On Target

Reason for tip
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Bologna’s English forward Jonathan Rowe has two goals in his last three games, including one against Roma in the previous round, and has been more effective in Europe than he has domestically in attack – with three goals and two assists in 10 games. He’s had eight attempts in four home games for Bologna in Europe and can at least test the keeper.

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Brisbane Roar and Both Teams To Score
at Central Coast Mariners
Reason for tip

Central Coast Mariners have the worst xG record in the A-League, which offers Brisbane Roar an opportunity to end their winless run. The visitors have served up stronger performances than their results suggest, while they’ve won 16 of their last 24 visits to Central Coast Mariners. The struggling hosts concede close to 2.0 xG on average, but BTTS has landed in their previous five.

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West Ham vs Wolves Bet Builder Tip

Adam Armstrong to score anytime

Reason for tip
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Adam Armstrong opened his account for Wolves in the 2-2 draw with Brentford last time out, having recorded two assists in his first six appearances in the league since his January arrival. That strike should provide a bit of a confidence boost and he can follow that up with a goal at West Ham.

Ladislav Krejci 1+ shot on target

Reason for tip
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Krejci scored key goals in both playoff games as he helped Czechia to reach the World Cup this summer. The defender’s threat on the end of set pieces is a real danger to this West Ham side. Krejci ranks third for shots on target for Wolves this season, managing an effort on goal when these two met in January.

Mateus Fernandes to be carded

Reason for tip
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The 21-year-old has made a real impression for West Ham this term, but he has six cautions in the Premier League. Five of those six bookings have been dished out at the London Stadium, so back him for a card in a key clash for the Hammers.

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Blackpool to Win
vs Peterborough
Reason for tip
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Jamie Griffith: Blackpool have won four and lost none of their last five home matches. Peterborough, meanwhile, look well off it. Posh have struggled on their travels in particular and their winless away run is set to be extended to seven games with a defeat at Blackpool.

Bradford to Win
vs Stevenage
Reason for tip
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Aaron Ashley: Only runaway leaders Lincoln have picked up more points at home this season than Bradford, who have won 15 of their 20 matches at Valley Parade. The visitors have suffered defeat in seven of their last nine away league games and that includes on trips to bottom-four pair Exeter and Northampton.

Oldham to Win
at Shrewsbury
Reason for tip
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Tom McGarry: Shrewsbury are all but safe from League Two relegation and their form over recent weeks would suggest they are already on the beach, as they have lost five of their last six. By contrast, Oldham are flying, winning nine and losing only one of their last 13 games to propel themselves into play-off contention.

Oxford United to Win
vs Watford
Reason for tip
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Gareth Freeman: The Hornets seem destined for a mid-table finish as a run of just one win in their last six games means they are nine points adrift of the play-offs. Oxford are the team in greater need of the points and they’re unbeaten in four at home, with two wins.

Fulham Double Chance (Win or Draw)
at Liverpool
Reason for tip
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Tom Hill: Liverpool have lost three on the spin in all competitions, and with their title defence over months ago, Slot may have one eye on the second leg against PSG. Fulham are unbeaten in three away games in all competitions and they are unbeaten in their last three matches against the Reds.

Hibernian to Win
at Aberdeen
Reason for tip
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Aaron Rogan: Aberdeen are in dire form with no wins across their last nine league games, and they’ve suffered 12 defeats from their 14 clashes with sides placed fifth or higher, including home and away losses to Hibs.

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Under 2.5 Match Goals
Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Athens
Reason for tip
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Rayo Vallecano have won four of their five home Conference League games this season. They can secure a narrow win over AEK Athens, who have lost seven of their nine previous games on Spanish soil, drawing the other two. Whatever the result goals should be in short supply as fewer than three goals have been scored in five of Rayo’s last six and two of AEK’s last three games.

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