Premier League Corners and Cards Predictions - Gameweek 4
Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.
We’re back with more corners and cards predictions for this weekend’s Premier League fixtures. A recent feedback survey revealed that you want more betting tips in these hidden gems of markets, so we’ve put all the time and effort into researching it and bringing you our favourite predictions.
We’re coming into this week on the back of another profitable weekend on the corners and cards. Antonio Valencia’s booking on Monday night landed us a fantastic 5/1 tip, and pushed the profit for the weekend up to £105.65 (based off £10 stakes, please gamble responsibly). You can see all our predictions from gameweek 2 here.
Please note – Stakes are used for example purposes only.
Read More: Premier League Gameweek 4 Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
Leicester vs Liverpool
Leicester and Liverpool kick the weekend of Premier League action off on Saturday afternoon, and it’s the cards markets we’re focusing on to start with. Leicester’s star man Jamie Vardy may be serving a suspension at the moment, but generally speaking Leicester are a team of few cards. Last season they picked up two or more cards in just three of their six home games against the top six, and with Liverpool’s opposition away from home last season averaging just 1.11 cards per game we’re not expecting The Foxes to get into too much trouble here. To make matters even better, Paul Tierney will be refereeing the game on Saturday. Tierney averaged just 2.38 cards per game last season and didn’t dish out a single red card, giving him the second lowest card average of any referee who oversaw 15 or more top flight games last season. This makes odds of 11/8 for Leicester Under 1.5 Cards look very attractive.
Read our full match preview for Leicester vs Liverpool here.
Crystal Palace vs Southampton
Southampton could be considered experts at winning corners back at St Mary’s, but away from home that’s not the case so much. Away from home their games averaged a relatively modest 10.54 corners per game, and their only trip away this season saw just seven corners in total. Crystal Palace’s home games against the bottom 14 last season saw just 9.77 corners per game, and their games against the bottom 14 so far this season have yielded 9.5 corners per game. Both of those saw fewer than 11 corners in total, so backing Under 10.5 Corners at 1/1 looks a good bet.
We might not be expecting many corners, but Southampton could make up for that in the cards department. The Saints have picked up two or more cards in two of their three games this season and received an average of two cards per game away from home last season. This was the second highest in the top flight, and Crystal Palace saw their visitors last season average 2.11 cards per game, which is the third highest in the league. In addition, Martin Atkinson dished out 3.82 cards per Premier League game last season, which was the third highest tally of any referee with more than 15 games to their name. All things considered, we like the look of Southampton Over 1.5 Team Cards at 8/11.
Continuing along the lines of Southampton’s poor discipline, we take a look at Oriol Romeu. The Spaniard is expected to start in the middle of the park on Saturday, and there’s a strong possibility that he’ll leave the field with his name in the referees notebook. Romeu was Southampton’s most carded player last season with 11 bookings in his 34 Premier League outings, and away from home his record is even sketchier. He has been booked in seven of his last 18 Premier League away matches, including in each of Southampton’s last three trips away from home. Since Mark Hughes took charge of the Saints in March he has been booked in three of his five away appearances and in four of his nine appearances home and away. Backing Romeu to get booked at 9/4 looks a great value offering, because if he doesn’t take part the bet is void and we get our money back.
Read our full match preview for Crystal Palace vs Southampton here
Chelsea vs Bournemouth
Bournemouth’s trips away to the big six last season saw an absolute glut of corners, and we’re expecting no different on Saturday. Five of their trips away to the top six last season saw at least 12 corners in total, averaging 12.5 corners per game. Meanwhile, Chelsea’s home games against the bottom 14 saw an average of 12.5 corners per game, so odds of 1/1 for Over 11.5 Corners looks a great price.
Corners may be ten a penny at Stamford Bridge, but we’re expecting the cards to be more thin on the ground. Lee Mason is refereeing this game and handed out just 2.5 yellow cards per game last season, which is the 4th lowest of any referee who oversaw 15 or more games. The Cherries only saw three or more cards in two of their away games against the top six last season, with those games seeing an average of 2 cards per game. This makes an Under 3 Asian Cards bet at 1.825 look good value.
Bournemouth only picked up more than one card in two of these six away games against the top six too, and in their three games so far this season they have received just four cards. For this reason, we’re also backing Bournemouth Under 1.5 Team Cards at 5/4.
Read our full match preview for Chelsea vs Bournemouth here
West Ham vs Wolves
Rounding off our predictions for the 3pm Premier League games sees us look to the London Stadium. West Ham won an average of 6.23 corners per game when at home against the bottom 14 last season, and their only home game so far this season saw them win six corners. Meanwhile, Wolves conceded an average of 5.3 corners per away game in the Championship last season and have seen their opponents trot to the corner flag more than five times in two of their three Premier League games so far. This makes odds of 6/5 for West Ham Over 5.5 Team Corners look very nice indeed.
Read our full match preview for West Ham vs Wolves here.
Manchester City vs Newcastle
Saturday’s evening kickoff sees Newcastle make the terrifying journey to The Etihad, but it also offers us a number of valuable opportunities. The first one of these comes in the corners market. Five of Newcastle’s visits to the top six last season saw at least 11 corners in total, with a huge average of 13.5 corners per game over these six matches. Manchester City have already seen all three of their Premier League games this season end with at least 11 corners taken, and The Citizens themselves have won at least nine corners in all of them. Now they come up against a Newcastle side who conceded a league high 10.17 corners per game when visiting the top six, so we’re backing Over 10.5 Corners at 4/5.
The cards market also offers us some value in this game. Last season Newcastle picked up just seven cards in their six trips away to the big clubs, picking up more than one card on just one occasion. Home and away, they received just 12 cards in 12 games against the top six, picking up more than one card just twice. Isaac Hayden is the biggest liability for The Magpies having been carded more than any other Newcastle player last season, but he’ll already be suspended for this clash. To make matters even better, Kevin Friend’s 2.19 cards per game last season was the lowest average of any referee with more than 15 games under their belts, so Newcastle Under 1.5 Team Cards at 11/10 looks fantastic.
Read our full match preview for Manchester City vs Newcastle here
Burnley vs Manchester United
Sticking with the cards markets as we head into Sunday, we take a look at Burnley’s hosting of Manchester United. The Clarets home games against the top six last season saw an average of 2.83 dards per game, and they only saw more than three cards dished out in two of these six matches. Despite their poor form, only seven cards have been handed out in Burnley’s league games this season, and none of them have seen more than three cards shown. Only one of Manchester United’s has seen more than three cards, and that was their hosting of Spurs on Monday night. We like the look of Under 3.5 Cards at 1/1 here.
There is still value to be found in the corners as well though. Burnley’s only home game of the season this campaign saw just seven corners in total, and Manchester United have seen no more than eight corners in any of their games this term. With only three of Burnley’s home games against the top six last season ending with more than nine corners, backing Under 9 Corners at 15/8 looks a great value offering.
Watford vs Tottenham Hotspur
We end the weekend and head into the dreaded international break at Vicarage Road on Sunday. First up is the corners offerings, starting with a high value bet of Total Corners 6-8 at 9/4. All three of Spurs’ Premier League matches this season have seen between six and eight corners in total, and last season half of Watford’s Premier League hostings of the top six ended with the corner count in the same range. Odds of 9/4 for this seem hugely inflated, so we think it’s an excellent value bet.
We’re not expecting Tottenham to have the lion’s share of these set pieces either. Just one of Watford’s home games against the top six last season saw their opposition win more than five corners, and with Tottenham taking just 12 corners in their three games this season we’re not expecting this to change here. Spurs haven’t won more than five corners in any of their league games this term, so backing Tottenham Under 5.5 Team Corners at 4/5 looks a good choice.
For our final prediction we head back to the lucrative cards markets, and once again it’s Tottenham who we’re backing against here. Spurs have picked up two or more cards in two of their three league games this season, and their away matches last term averaged a joint Premier League high 3.89 cards per game. Meanwhile, Watford’s home games against the top six last season saw their visitors receive two or more cards on three occasions, and their opposition this season have been carded 1.67 times per game on average. This makes odds of 11/8 for Tottenham Over 1.5 Cards look a very promising prediction to end the weekend on.
Read our full match preview for Watford vs Tottenham Hotspur here.
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