Teams to help you crack the over 2.5 goals market
Born in the south east of Ireland, Simon put his life-long love of football to good use when he started a successful independent blog in 2010. That opened up an alternative route to a career in journalism, and having had work published across a number of sites and publications, Simon joined the staff at Spotlight Sports Group in 2018.
Over 2.5 total goals is one of the most popular and fun to surf markets in football betting – and for good reason. When you back over 2.5 goals to be scored in a single selection or multi-part accumulator, what you’re really backing is excitement – and with the result of the contests in question rendered largely irrelevant, you can sit back and enjoy the net busting drama as it unfolds.
Of course, some teams tend to be involved in high scoring, action-packed matches more often than others, and naturally, the clubs with the consistently healthy goal per game averages are always terrific options to consider in the aforementioned total goals markets.
To help you get a better idea of where to find teams worth watching in the over 2.5 goals market as well as leagues with consistently high goal per game averages, FST has compiled a list of the clubs and competitions across Europe that have been posting some really interesting numbers.
Check out the data below.
Remember- you can find all of our latest predictions over on our free football tips page.
Premier League
The Premier League has been wonderfully unpredictable and unusually goal-laden in the early exchanges of the 2020/21 season, and the extra cut and thrust coupled with the division’s current penalty kick pandemic has pushed the average goals per game figure up to 3.14 after 78 games – a sizeable jump in output compared to last season’s 2.72 goals per 90 minutes average.
That healthy goals per fixture average hasn’t quite sent the over 2.5 goals percentages sky-rocketing in overall terms, with just 55.1% of the games so far producing three or more goals, though a few individual cases are definitely worth highlighting.
Three quarters of Chelsea’s, Liverpool’s and Everton’s top-tier matches so far have returned over 2.5 goals, while Aston Villa and Manchester United are also worth keeping an eye on with 71% of their contests witnessing three or more goals.
The inconsistent Red Devils should always pique your interest when Solskjaer’s side are on their travels too. Amazingly, over 3.5 goals rattled the net in 100% of their assignments away from Old Trafford this term.
Newcastle United meanwhile can be found at both ends of the goals spectrum, depending on where their fixtures take place. At St. James’ Park 100% of their Premier League games so far have seen over 2.5 goals, however, on the road, Steve Bruce’s notoriously defensive Magpies have yet to crack the over 2.5 goals barrier.
La Liga
It seems Spain’s La Liga has yet to fully wake up from its stop-start summer slumber, and goals have been pretty hard to come by in the country’s elite division.
Just 39.8% of the league’s fixtures this season have seen over 2.5 goals scored so far, while a further 31.9% of the campaign’s matches to date saw at least one team fail to register.
In terms of individual clubs to watch, Valencia stand apart from the rest of the field and over 2.5 goals were smashed home in a decent 67% of Los Che’s assignments since the new season got under way.
Elsewhere, Barcelona’s appearance on the list has been powered by some thrilling games at the Camp Nou, where 75% of their La Liga tussles so far saw over 2.5 goals scored – a figure matched by Real Betis when Los Verdiblancos play in the familiar surroundings of the Estadio Benito Villamarín.
Ligue 1
Like La Liga, Ligue 1’s over 2.5 goals per game average is a little uninspiring, with 51.1% of the matches in French football finest division producing three or more goals, though a few of the league’s teams buck the competition’s overall trends.
Brest and Chelsea’s Champions League opponents Rennes, have been Ligue 1’s great entertainers so far this season, with over 2.5 goals registered in a full 80% of their matches respectively, while Monaco, Nice and Reims have seen a minimum of three goals plundered in a healthy 70% of their contests too.
While Nantes don’t make the overall list, Les Canaris are certainly worth getting in a flap over when they take flight at the La Beaujoire-Louis Fonteneau, where 100% of their Ligue 1 matches to date have seen three or more goals notched.
Serie A
With a league average figure of 62.9%, Serie A has been delivering crates of fixtures with over 2.5 goals scored this season, as Italy’s leading league continues to move away from its traditional defensive leanings.
Some of the main drivers of the division’s goal bonanza this term have been Atalanta, Benevento and Spezia – who have all seen over 2.5 goals scored in a whopping 86% of their games.
AC Milan, Roma, Sampdoria and Torino have all been consistently entertaining too in what is already shaping up to be the most gripping Serie A campaign in a decade.
Elsewhere, newly promoted Benevento and the recently returned Parma are well worth trailing when they hit the road in Italy. Remarkably, over 3.5 goals hit the net in 100% of their away matches in 2020/21 so far, and their early performances suggest we should expect those pulsating patterns to continue.
Bundesliga
The perennially exciting and goal-filled Bundesliga has been shaking off some of its early-season rust of late, and nets across Germany have started to ripple with more regularity.
Over 2.5 goals were scored in a noteworthy 57.1% of the league’s fixtures since the summer, and somewhat unsurprisingly, Hansi Flick’s relentless Bayern Munich team have been leading the way in terms of entertainment.
100% of their Bundesliga fixtures have returned over 2.5 goals, while over 3.5 goals and amazingly – over 4.5 goals – hit the net in 86% of their league contests to date.
Bottom club Mainz are also team worth paying attention too, though it’s largely for the wrong reasons. The relegation candidates have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 86% of their matches, though 20 of the 27 goals notched in their fixtures so far were finished at the wrong end.
Punters in search of goals are also advised to tune in when Schalke, Hertha Berlin and Champions League surprise package Borussia Monchengladbach are playing away. Over 2.5 goals were hit in 100% of that trio’s assignments on the road since the 2020/21 campaign kicked-off.
Rest of Europe
A deep-dive into Europe’s less prominent domestic divisions throws up a fresh set of under the radar clubs that can help you crack the over 2.5 goals markets.
In the Austrian Bundesliga, Admira Wacker (100%) and Wolfsberger (83%) are your key performers, while Beerschot (92%) are leaving supporters punch drunk from all the heavy hitting action in Belgium.
Across in Poland’s Ekstraklasa, Rakow C. are the ones to watch, where 89% of their matches have seen over 2.5 goals, while Danish Superligaen pair FC Kobenhavn (88%) and Brondby (88%) are matching each other stride for stride in the total goals stakes.
A talented young AZ Alkmaar outfit are the Eredivisie’s most entertaining side this season in the Netherlands, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of their away matches and 86% of their league fixtures overall, while Portuguese behemoths Porto (86%) and Swiss club Luzern (83%) should also be on your watch-list.
European league comparison
In a side-by-side comparison between a selection of Europe’s major and minor domestic divisions, Denmark’s Superligaen is the most prolific provider of games where over 2.5 goals are scored. A full 67% or 32 of the first 48 matches of the new 2020/21 season there have seen three or more goals notched, a figure that the goal-hungry teams in Belgium’s First Division A come close to matching.
Italy’s Serie A and the Netherlands’ Eredivisie are also hitting the mark roughly twice in every three fixtures, while towards the foot of the chart, we find competitions best avoided for the most part if you’re searching for net-shredding action.
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