Arsenal vs Aston Villa Predictions
Published on 3:30pm GMT 14 April 2024
- 15:30
- Expired
- Emirates Stadium
- Sky Sports Main Event
- Sky Sports Premier League
Arsenal to Win and Over 3.5 Match Goals
Reasoning
Arsenal vs Aston Villa Predictions
- Arsenal have scored at least twice in nine of their last ten home league matches.
- Aston Villa have won just one of their last five league games.
- Unai Emery’s side have kept just two clean sheets on the road in the Premier League this season.
Gunners are on the title charge
The chase for the Premier League title looks set to go all the way and Arsenal could negotiate a significant hurdle if they can get past Aston Villa at the Emirates on Sunday.
Villa have their own motivation as their battle with Tottenham for fourth spot and a place in next season’s Champions League is being just as keenly contested, but there is a feeling they may just be running out of puff now we have got to the business end of the campaign.
Arsenal need to recover from the demands of what was a gruelling Champions League draw against Bayern Munich on Tuesday and at least benefit from a couple of extra days’ rest compared to Villa, who were in Europa Conference League action against Lille.
And the Gunners seem to have learned a great deal from their near miss last season and it is difficult not to be impressed with their form over the last few weeks.
The only league game in the last 11 they have not won was a goalless draw at Manchester City where they stood toe-to-toe with the treble winners and were arguably the better side, so this looks a tough assignment for Villa.
Villa are having a wobble
The Midlands outfit suffered a 4-0 defeat to Tottenham last month and they have been faltering a little since, winning just one of the four matches that followed that home humbling.
They have scored plenty of away goals, netting 2o in their last ten on the road in the league, but they were shaky in their 3-3 draw at home to Brentford last Saturday when they took a two-goal lead, fell 3-2 behind and then scraped a point.
So there is a temptation to think there will be goals in this game and it is worth chancing that Arsenal will come away with the points in a game that produces more than three goals.
A 3-1 home win correct-score selection would therefore make sense for punters looking to make an investment in that market.
Jesus can make his mark
Bukayo Saka continues to be the star of the show for Arsenal this season, but there has been evidence that Gabriel Jesus is almost back to his best.
The Brazilian had a six-week layoff after scoring his most recent Premier League goal in the Gunners’ 2-1 win at Nottingham Forest, but he has looked sharp in his last couple of league appearances against his former club City and in last week’s 3-0 win at Brighton.
He had a total of seven goal efforts in both of those games and this could be the occasion when he scores his fifth of the league this season.
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