Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Predictions

• Atletico Madrid have won 15 of their 17 home matches so far this season
• Athletic Bilbao have lost three of their four visits to the top seven in La Liga
• The visitors have lost four of their last five trips to Atletico

Atletico can edge first leg

Two of La Liga’s top five meet in this Copa del Rey semi-final first leg on Wednesday night, with Atletico looking to continue some fine home form this term. Diego Simeone’s side haven’t lost at home this term, winning 15 of 17 games in normal time.

The hosts can edge this first leg, especially since the visitors have had their issues away from home this season. While Athletic Bilbao have put themselves just three points shy of fourth-placed Atletico in La Liga, they’ve lost three of their four visits to the top seven in the table.

Bilbao have also lost four of their last five visits to Atletico, so they could find themselves behind after this first-leg. Atletico head into the clash in fine form, winning four of their last five starts. They’ve also won 25 of their last 29 home matches dating back to the start of 2023, so they look like good value for a victory at around the evens mark.

With Athletic Bilbao failing to score in their last two away trips, back them to fall short on Wednesday. A 1-0 win for the hosts looks like the best correct score option, with Simeone’s men scoring exactly once in three of their last five matches.