Bayern Munich vs PSG Predictions

• PSG have lost five of their last seven meetings with Bayern in the Champions League
• The French side have scored and lost in two of their last three away trips
• Bayern have won 15 of their last 17 home games in this competition
• Mbappe has scored in nine of his last 11 Champions League games

PSG face uphill battle

With Neymar ruled out for the season, PSG’s hopes of finally ending their wait for Champions League glory look to be in tatters ahead of their visit to Munich. Bayern hold a 1-0 lead after the first leg, so can a weakened PSG side overturn that defeat?

The visitors have had a mixed start to 2023 but their recent three-game winning run will have raised hopes for their chances in Europe. However, they meet a Bayern side who look rampant after a long post-World Cup break. The hosts are lining up another deep run in the Champions League, while their record against the Parisians points to them booking a quarter-final place.

Bayern look tough to take down

After winning four of their first five Champions League meetings with Bayern Munich (L1), PSG have won just two of their last seven against them, losing each of the other five. The German giants have won 1-0 in three of their last four meetings with PSG, but Wednesday’s clash should feature more goals.

Bayern have won 15 of their last 17 Champions League home games, while they’ve scored 30 times across their last eight matches alone. The German giants have won all seven games in this season’s competition, while they meet a PSG side who have lost 3-1 to Monaco and 2-1 to Marseille across their last three away trips.

Mbappe can lead PSG resistance

The visitors will always pack an attacking threat, even with Neymar missing for the rest of the campaign. The first leg of this tie is the only time the French champions have failed to score across their last 15 games in the Champions League, while they’ve scored in 10 of their previous 11 trips in all competitions.

Kylian Mbappe has scored in both of his Champions League away games against Bayern Munich, while he’s scored five in three games since that home loss to the Bavarians. He’s scored in nine of his last 11 Champions League appearances, so even considering Bayern’s great form Mbappe is good value to net in this trip.

While PSG can get forward, it’s hard to see them living with a Bayern side who have won six of their last seven games. The hosts have the head-to-head advantage and their form points to another win, so back Bayern and both teams to score, with a 3-2 home win my correct score prediction.