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Brighton vs Brentford Predictions

Published on 7:30pm GMT 27 December 2024

  • 19:30
  • Expired
  • The Amex Stadium
Brighton
Brentford
  • Amazon Prime

Brighton and Both Teams To Score

Reason for tip

Brighton have only lost once at home this season but they do tend to concede goals, as they are without a clean-sheet in any of their last 10 games. Brentford boast one of the most potent attacks in the division and can exploit that, but the Bees also hold the worst away record in the top flight, so scoring may be as good as it gets for them.

15/8odds when tipped
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Brighton 2-1

Reason for tip

Brighton have taken seven points from their three previous top-flight home meetings with Brentford, including last season’s 2-1 success at The Amex.  With four of the Bees’ last eight away games also ending in 2-1 defeats, that score could play out once again on Friday.

17/2odds when tipped
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Kaoru Mitoma To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Kaoru Mitoma has not been prolific for Brighton this season but that is not for the want of trying, with the Japan international unleashing 32 shots in the top flight and five in his last two games alone. With the chances likely to come at regular intervals for his side on Friday, expect Mitoma to deliver.

11/5odds when tipped
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Brighton vs Brentford Predictions

  • Brighton have only lost once at home in the Premier League this season
  • The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean-sheet in any of their last 10 games
  • Brentford hold the worst away record in the top flight

Euro hopefuls eye return to form

Brighton and Brentford are both firmly in the hunt for European qualification as the Premier League season nears its halfway point but neither side will head into Friday’s meeting at The Amex in the best of form.

The Seagulls are without a win in five, although they have drawn three of those games, while Brentford have lost four of their last five across all competitions and their away record has been poor throughout the campaign.

Remarkably, despite sitting 12th in the table and just five points off the top six, the Bees hold the worst away record in the top flight this season, picking up just a solitary point from eight road fixtures.

Thomas Frank’s side have also struggled in recent meetings with Brighton, winning just once in six previous Premier League clashes between the two sides and taking only a solitary point from their three top-flight visits to The Amex.

With Brighton having only lost once at home in the league this season, albeit that defeat was in their last such fixture against Crystal Palace, Fabian Hurzeler’s side should have enough about them to collect all three points.

Don’t bank on a clean-sheet

While they should be able to collect on all three points on home soil, the likelihood of Brighton keeping a clean-sheet is not strong given they are without a shutout across their last 10 games in all competitions.

The likes of Wolves, Southampton and Palace have all managed to score on recent trips to the South Coast and Brentford should be able to follow suit given their own attacking firepower.

Only four teams have scored more Premier League goals than the Bees total of 32 this season and they have netted in seven of their last eight away games across all competitions, with four of those contests ending in 2-1 defeats.

That outcome could also play out against Brighton, who were 2-1 winners in last season’s corresponding fixture between the two sides, with Pascal Gross and Jack Hinshelwood goals cancelling out Bryan Mbeumo’s early penalty for Brentford that day.

Mitoma could prove Brighton’s hero

Brighton have shared the goals around this season with 13 different players getting on the scoresheet in the Premier League, but only two have netted more than winger Kaoru Mitoma, who is a player that tends to get on the end of chances.

The Japan international has unleashed 32 shots in his 17 league appearances to date this term, including five across his last two outings against Palace and West Ham.

Although that has only yielded three goals for the 27-year-old, he does have previous against Brentford, netting in the 3-3 draw at The Amex in April 2023, and in a match where Brighton should prosper, Mitoma is a player that can get on the scoresheet.

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