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Burnley vs Leeds Predictions

Published on 8:00pm GMT 27 January 2025

  • 20:00
  • Expired
  • Turf Moor
Burnley
Leeds
  • Sky Sports Main Event

Leeds to Win

Reason for tip

Burnley have only conceded nine goals in the Championship from an expected goals figure of 30.9 and their luck could run out when they host Leeds, who are the top scorers in the division having netted 53 times in  28 games, and they could be too strong.

11/8odds when tipped
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Leeds 2-0

Reason for tip

Leeds have won eight Championship games by a 2-0 scoreline this season and they could shutout Burnley, who came into this weekend’s games as the lowest scorers in the top five.

10/1odds when tipped
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Burnley vs Leeds Predictions

  • Burnley have netted 17 fewer goals than Leeds this season
  • Leeds have won 11 of their last 15 games in all competitions
  • The Whites have recorded eight 2-0 wins in the Championship this season

Burnley riding their luck

Burnley have conceded just nine goals this season but they have been a touch fortunate in that department and their luck could run out when they host Leeds on Monday night.

The Clarets expected goals allowed figure is 30.4, indicating that a combination of impressive goalkeeping and poor finishing from their opponents has conspired to keep their goals conceded tally so low.

Sunderland missed two penalties against them recently and Leeds are unlikely to be so wasteful.

The Whites came into the weekend top of the division and are far and away the top scorers in the division, their tally of 53 was 13 more than the next best before this weekend’s games and they could simply overpower their hosts in this clash, eight teams had outscored Burnley after the midweek action.

Leeds fancied

Daniel Farke’s men have won 11 of their last 15 games in all competitions and they have kept clean sheets in six of their last eight matches.

Side with Leeds to take a big step towards automatic promotion with a win against their title challengers.

The away team have won eight Championship games by a 2-0 scoreline this term and could add to that tally at Turf Moor.

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