Chelsea vs Bayern Munich Predictions

• The previous 4 meetings between these two have averaged over 4 goals per game.
• Bayern have a 100% record in the UCL this season.
• 4 of Chelsea’s last 5 UCL games have finished with over 2.5 goals.
• Bayern’s Bundesliga campaign has seen over 2.5 goals land in 87% of their matches.

Bayern Revenge

These two sides played out one of the most memorable Champions League finals of the last decade at Bayern’s home stadium. They were shocked in their own ground to lose that final, which was a heavy blow for the Bavarians.

It seems like Bayern haven’t forgotten their loss to Chelsea. Since losing the 2012 Champions League final, Bayern Munich have eliminated English clubs in four of their five subsequent home/away ties in the competition. Will that be the case once again?

European Royalty

This is a clash between two sides who have been consistent contenders in Europe of late. Chelsea have reached the knockout stages of the Champions League 14 times in 17 seasons since 2003/04 – only Real Madrid, Barcelona and Bayern Munich can boast more knockout appearances over that time. However, the Blues haven’t made it past the round of 16 since 2013/14.

Meanwhile, Bayern Munich have reached the Champions League knockout stages for the 12th consecutive season – only Real Madrid (23) and Barcelona (16) are on a longer run. The Bavarians have made it past the round of 16 in seven of the last eight campaigns, the only exception coming last season when they were eliminated by Liverpool.

High Scoring Past

The four previous matches in all competitions between Chelsea and Bayern Munich have produced 17 goals, an average of 4.25 per game. Given how both sides are playing this term, we expect another thriller. The Bavarians won maximum points (18/18) and had a goal difference of +19 in the Champions League group stages this season, the best-ever performance by a team in the group phase of the competition.

Meanwhile, both teams have scored in five of Chelsea’s last six home ties in this competition. In the group stage, four of their final five matches saw over 2.5 goals scored. Bayern are likely to add to that given their scoring form, with the visitors seeing over 2.5 goals in 87% of their Bundesliga games. We’re backing over 2.5 goals again here, following their entertaining European campaigns.

Chelsea have been eliminated in each of their last four Champions League home/away ties, failing to win any of their eight knockout games in that period (D4 L4). The Blues have won only one of their last six Champions League games at Stamford Bridge, while they’ve already been beaten seven times at home in all competitions this term. Bayern have won nine of their last 12 trips in this competition, including each of their last three. Given their great record against English sides in recent years, we expect Bayern to land a 2-1 win here.