Chelsea vs Leicester City Predictions

• Leicester have lost six of their last seven Premier League games to nil
• The Foxes are goalless in their last four league games, managing just eight shots on target in that time
• Chelsea thumped Southampton 4-0 in their last home game

Tide is turning for Maresca

Enzo Maresca crosses paths with his former side just as form has rebounded for his current charges. Chelsea received a generous clash at home to Southampton following a three-match losing streak, while they had over a week between that and Thursday’s 2-1 win in Copenhagen.

Chelsea’s fortunes have been further boosted by Wesley Fofana’s early return to fitness. The former Leicester man picked up an injury in December and things began to unravel for Maresca shortly after. The Blues are unbeaten in their previous 11 matches in which Fofana has appeared, winning seven of those.

Foxes are sinking

Ruud van Nistelrooy’s Leicester tenure is getting progressively worse, with the Foxes now as short as 1/25 to return to the Championship. The second bottom side have lost to nil in six of their last seven Premier League games, while they lost to nil in all four of their league games in February.

Employing one of the league’s greatest strikers hasn’t given them much of an attacking edge, as Leicester managed just eight shots on target across their last four Premier League outings, recording just 1.4 Expected Goals.

Maresca’s side have restricted their opponents to only two shots on target in each of their last two matches. They’re getting some strong performances out of Marc Cucurella and Levi Colwill, while Filip Jorgensen is a clear upgrade in goal despite his mistake against Aston Villa.

Neto to fire Blues to another big victory

Chelsea are struggling for bodies in the final third, with Nicolas Jackson, Noni Madueke, and Marc Guiu ruled out. Maresca has turned to Pedro Neto to lead the line, allowing Christopher Nkunku to move back to his favoured position on the wing.

After posting an xG of 0.6 against Aston Villa, Neto scored in the win over Southampton. The Saints and Leicester are the only two sides to have conceded 60+ goals so far this term, with the Foxes shipping 2.64 goals per away trip.

With Leicester offering little going forward or back, the Blues are heavy favourites across the board here. They’re odds-on to score three or more goals, while the Foxes are even money to fail to score. Combining those two outcomes with over 2.5 goals and BTTS no stands out at 27/10, while Neto can lead the Blues to another 4-0 win.