FC Porto vs TSG Hoffenheim Predictions

• Over 3.5 goals has landed in three of Porto’s last five games.
• There have been four or more goals scored in half of Hoffenheim’s fixtures.
• Porto are unbeaten at home (W5, D1).

Go for goals at the Dragão

Porto conceded a late equaliser against Manchester United in the last round of Europa League games in an entertaining 3-3 draw and they face what looks an easier assignment on Thursday as Germany’s Hoffenheim visit.

The Bundesliga club have endured a tough start to the season and are among the strugglers in their domestic league with four defeats in seven games. Hoffenheim do have four points from two Europa League games but were held at Midtjylland in Denmark in their only away game so far, suggesting this trip to Porto may be a step too far.

Unsurprisingly, the hosts are the clear favourites so the value bet is taking a chance on over 3.5 goals.

Both of Porto’s Europa League games have seen at least four goals scored, while three of their last five have gone over 3.5 goals in all competitions.

Hoffenheim’s games haven’t been quite as high-scoring but over 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in exactly half of their games in all competitions. The German outfit are also yet to draw a blank in any competition and over 3.5 goals has been a winning bet in three of their four losses. That suggests both teams can contribute here so this could be a high-scoring encounter.

Porto did slip up at Bodo/G;imt in their opener in this competition so they need a result on Thursday. The Portuguese big guns should be able to claim the spoils as they have been close to perfect at home with five wins in six games, drawing the other.

A 3-1 Porto win is the correct score prediction as Porto have scored at least three goals in four of their last six games and exactly three in three of those.

Samu has enjoyed a fantastic start to the campaign since joining Porto over the summer with seven goals in as many games across all competitions. He also scored four goals fort Spain’s Under 21s over the international break and looks a strong contender for an anytime effort against Hoffenheim.