Italy vs Germany Predictions & Tips

19:45
20
San Siro

Italy

Germany

Thursday 20th March
UEFA Nations League
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Both Teams To Score

Reason for tip

Seven of the last eight meetings between these two nations have finished with both teams scoring, while Luciano Spalletti’s Italy side haven’t lived up to the nation’s defensive reputation. They’ve kept one clean sheet in 10, with BTTS landing in five of their last six.

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Draw 1-1

Reason for tip

Germany’s injury list has levelled the playing field here, as Florian Wirtz and Kai Havertz are key misses for the visitors. However, Italy lack a true elite striker and they dropped points at home to Belgium and France in the last round. Germany drew two of their three away games in the group stage, so back this to finish 1-1.

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Leroy Sane To Score Anytime

Reason for tip

Leroy Sane scored for Germany during the last international break in November and he scored Bayern’s only goal against Union Berlin at the weekend. With Gnaby, Wirtz and Havertz out, Sane is likely to lead the line.

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Seven of the last eight head-to-head meetings have seen BTTS land
Italy have kept one clean sheet in 10
Germany’s three Nations League trips saw both teams score

Can Germany survive their injury setbacks?

Germany face this two-legged UEFA Nations League quarter-final without some key names. Julian Nagelsmann’s side head to Milan on Thursday with Kay Havertz, Florian Wirtz and Serge Gnabry missing out.

Navigating those absentees will be difficult for the visitors, but this is an Italy side who still have issues to address. Luciano Spalletti is aiming to transform how the Azzurri play, but they have kept one clean sheet in 10.

Both teams scored in five of Italy’s Nations League group games, including all three at home. Meanwhile, Germany’s three away games in the last round also saw both teams find the net.

Seven of the previous eight encounters between these sides have finished without a clean sheet. Defensive concerns remain for both – including a Germany side who are struggling for options in goal.

Injuries should offer Leroy Sane a chance to play through the middle and he can trouble Italy’s backline, but Italy have scored in 12 of their last 13 home games. Back the pair to cancel each other out.