Luton vs Aston Villa Predictions
Published on 5:30pm GMT 2 March 2024
- 17:30
- Expired
- Kenilworth Road
- Sky Sports Main Event
Aston Villa to Win and Over 2.5 Match Goals
Reasoning
de Paulo Douglas Luiz To Score Anytime
Reasoning
Luton vs Aston Villa Predictions
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last eight matches against promoted sides, winning seven in that run
- Over 2.5 goals has been a winning bet in Luton’s last eight matches, with three of their last four home games going over 3.5
- Both teams have scored in eight of Villa’s last ten Premier League fixtures
Villans vying for third straight win
Rob Edwards will be looking for an immediate reaction from his Luton side following their 6-2 thrashing at the hands of Manchester City in the FA Cup last-16 on Tuesday, but he may struggle to achieve that against Unai Emery’s Aston Villa, who looked back to their best when beating Nottingham Forest 4-2 on Saturday.
Villa won the reverse fixture 3-1 and seem to have shook off any suggestions that they may be about to fall out of the hunt for a top four finish by winning their last two matches as well as their last two Premier League away games.
Emery’s men have found their feet again and should be too strong for Luton who, despite showing signs of improvement in January, have now lost four matches in a row by an aggregate score of 15-5.
While their attack has been firing, the Hatters have looked woeful at the back in recent weeks – especially when conceding three in a defeat to basement boys Sheffield United – and Villa could leave Kenilworth Road with three points in the bag.
Goals galore expected at Kenilworth Road
Due in large part to their defensive struggles, Luton’s games tend to be high-scoring affairs with an average of 4.75 goals in their last eight matches – with each of those fixtures seeing the ball hit the net on at least three occasions.
Aston Villa also have a tendency to get involved in clashes full of net-bulging action too, with five of their last eight Premier League matches going over 3.5 goals, suggesting that an exciting encounter should be expected at Kenilworth Road on Saturday.
Ollie Watkins has been in frightening form, netting 14 times and providing ten assists in his 26 Premier League appearances this term, and he looks sure to help bring up a high goals total in Bedfordshire.
Hatters can help bring up scoring total in defeat
However, expect the hosts to add to that total too. The Hatters have netted 13 goals in their last six games while also showing ability to score against the league’s best sides on plenty of occasions this term.
Luton netted twice in the week against Manchester City, put four past Newcastle and Brighton and scored three times in a defeat to Arsenal in December.
Pau Torres is expected to be fit for Villa, but they are still without a plethora of key defensive figures – most notably Boubacar Kamara and Ezri Konsa – and could be breached by the Hatters on Saturday.
Ultimately though, the Villans rate a far stronger side than their hosts and, led by an elite attack spearheaded by Watkins, they should leave Kenilworth Road with a positive result at the end of a goalfest
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