Spain vs Germany Predictions

• Both teams have scored in three of the last four meetings between this pair
• Spain (8.5) and Germany (8.4) top the expected goals chart at Euro 2024
• La Roja had 13 shots on target against Georgia, while Die Mannschaft managed nine in their round-of-16 clash with Denmark

Super Spain continue to dominate

Spain extended their perfect record at Euro 2024 with a comfortable 4-1 round-of-16 victory over Georgia on Sunday, and their dominant performance continued their run as the standout side in Germany. 

Luis de la Fuente’s men racked up 36 shots against the Crusaders, 13 of which hit the target, and notched an impressive 3.29 expected goals in Cologne and they are yet to concede a goal scored by an opposition player – Georgia’s sole strike came via La Roja defender Robin Le Normand’s inadvertent finish past his own goalkeeper.

Their reward for their rout is a clash with the hosts, who reached the quarters by beating Denmark 2-0 on Saturday night, in what is shaping up to be the tie of the round.

Back both teams to score in Stuttgart

Germany were somewhat fortunate to get past Denmark as the Red and Whites cruelly had a goal ruled out by VAR by the finest of margins, although Die Mannschaft did grow into the match and still hit the target with an nine of their 14 shots. 

That level of accuracy is a good sign as it will be required to net against Spain, who have excelled at not allowing their opponents much of a sniff. Georgia could only manage four shots against La Roja, none of which hit the target, while Italy mustered up the same measly number in their 1-0 group-stage defeat. 

However, Germany have far more talented attackers than those sides – especially Italy who crashed out with a dismal display against Switzerland in the round of 16 – and should have enough to score against Spain. 

Keeping them out could be another issue entirely though. Spain looked rampant against Georgia, and in Alvaro Morata, Nico Williams, Fabian Ruiz and Lamine Yamal, they have a quartet of potent goal-getters who could hurt the Germans, who looked shaky at times against Denmark. 

Ruiz in particular has caught the eye in Germany, scoring twice and assisting twice in just three appearances, and he is a big price to net against the hosts on Friday.

Crowd can help hosts stay competitive

These two sides have racked up the most expected goals at the tournament, with Spain notching 8.5 and Germany 8.4, so it seems likely the goals will flow in Stuttgart – especially as three of the last four meetings between the pair have seen both sides find the net. 

La Roja have been the best team at the tournament, but Germany have the advantage of the home crowd and that extra noise could prove pivotal for Julian Nagelsmann’s side as they go toe-to-toe with De La Fuente’s men. 

Spain could dominate but, buoyed by the raucous home crowd, Die Mannschaft could have enough to at least force extra-time – bringing a 1-1 correct score tip into play.