Vizela vs Arouca Predictions

• Arouca have had a greater xG than four of their last five league opponents.
• Vizela have lost back-to-back league games without scoring.
• Vizela have lost four of their last seven home league games (2 draws, 1 win).

Vizela look vulnerable in survival six-pointer

Neither Vizela or Arouca appear to be in great shape heading into Friday’s survival six-pointer which could be crucial in determining if one or both clubs drop into the relegation zone later this month. Vizela have lost back-to-back league games without scoring and their hollow performance in defeat to rock bottom Belenenses last week will surely have set alarm bells ringing.

Alvaro Pacheco’s men have taken more points on their travels (eight) than at Estádio Do Vizela (five) since the turn of the year and look seriously vulnerable as favourites to win this fixture. That even accounts for Arouca’s less-than-convincing away form as the visitors have taken just ten points from their last ten road trips.

Arouquenses, for whom winger Wellington Nem and midfielder Pedro Moreira are still injured, were easily the better side in their 1-1 home draw with Santa Clara last week with their xG greater than their opponents for a fourth time in five games. That suggests Armando Evangelista has got them playing to a level that should garner some better results soon in their bid to move out of the bottom four.

Draw no bet backers no worse off from Arouca away support 

Viewing Arouca quite positively because of that, the best way to approach this must-not-lose contest could be to take the visitors in the draw no bet market at an attractive 11/8. Backing Arouca DNB over their last ten away fixtures would have returned as much as staked even though they have lost twice as many (four) as won (two) during that spell.

Vizela, who have lost four of their last seven home league games, really cannot be trusted not to tun in another anaemic display here and hence we prefer the odds of Arouca to win 2-1 over any other option in correct score markets. Arouquenses have hit multiple goals in three of their last six away trips while they have kept only one clean sheet in their last ten road games.

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