Premier League Corners and Cards Predictions - Gameweek 2
Content Editor at Free Super Tips, Alex was born in the shadow of Old Trafford and is an avid Man Utd fan. After graduating from university he combined his love of football, writing and betting to join FST and now closely follows goings-on in all of the top European leagues.
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Read More: Premier League Gameweek 2 Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews.
West Ham vs Bournemouth
The 3pm kickoffs in the Premier League aren’t offering many openings in the cards and corners market, but one game that is an exception is West Ham’s hosting of Bournemouth. The Hammers were truly hammered last weekend away to Anfield, but on home soil against lesser opposition we’re expecting a much better showing.
Whether this plays out in the scoreline is another matter, but in the corners market at least Manuel Pellegrini’s side are looking strong. They won an average of 2.46 more corners than their opposition when playing host to a fellow bottom 14 Premier League side, and the visiting Bournemouth conceded an average of 6.46 corners when away to bottom 14 sides. This is 1.15 more corners conceded per game than their opposition, so backing West Ham -1 Asian Corners at 2.00 looks a decidedly good value offering.
Read our full match preview for West Ham vs Bournemouth here.
Chelsea vs Arsenal
Unai Emery faces another tough fixture this weekend after his baptism of fire at home to Manchester City last weekend, and the signs don’t look promising for him. A London derby between two top six clubs looks to be the perfect time to enter the cards market, and it’s the notorious Granit Xhaka we’re focusing on. The combative midfielder picked up a yellow card last weekend against Manchester City and was Arsenal’s most carded player last season with ten bookings. The 25 year old also committed more fouls than any other Arsenal player last season and was booked in three of his five trips away to fellow top six sides. Add that to the fact that Martin Atkinson’s average of 3.64 yellow cards per game is the 3rd highest in the Premier League last season and backing Xhaka to be carded at 6/5 looks a great decision.
Back to the corners market now, and there is plenty for us to sink our teeth into. Arsenal managed just two corners against Manchester City last weekend, and while that was anomalous when compared to their home form last season it does match up perfectly with their away record. The Gunners averaged just 2.2 corners per game away to the top six last season and only managed to win four or more corners in one of these five games. Chelsea kept their visiting top six opposition limited to fewer than four corners in two of their five attempts, and after they conceded just two against Huddersfield last weekend an Arsenal Under 3.5 Team Corners at 5/4 looks fantastic value.
Arsenal being limited in this way does tend to result in a lower than average total corner count, and Chelsea themselves are used to this. Just two of The Blues five home games against top six opposition saw more than ten corners in total, with the average hovering around 8.6 corners per game. This is the second lowest figure in the Premier League, while Arsenal’s average of 8.8 corners per away game against the top six is the second lowest in the top flight too. Only one of Arsenal’s trips away to the top six last season saw more than ten corners too. Chelsea’s trip to Huddersfield last weekend yielded just seven corners, and while Arsenal’s game saw 11 it’s worth remembering that nine of those came from Manchester City. We like the look of Under 10.5 Total Corners at 5/6.
Read our full match preview for Chelsea vs Arsenal here.
Burnley vs Watford
Sunday’s offering of top flight action offers plenty in the way of opportunity, starting with Burnley’s hosting of Watford at Turf Moor. The Clarets’ home games last season averaged 10.74 corners per game, but against the bottom 14 that rose to 11.08 per match. Watford’s average total corner count also rose when facing the less illustrious teams, with 10.62 corners per game away to the bottom 14. Both teams averaged over five corners per game both for and against them in their respective home and away games against the bottom 14, so backing Over 10.5 Corners at 1/1 looks a good way to start the day.
The cards market is also beckoning us for this match. Paul Tierney will oversee the game at Turf Moor, and his record of 2.38 cards per game was the second lowest among all referees who watched over more than 15 Premier League games last season. It’s no surprise with fixtures like this in his calendar either – Watford’s away games last season averaged just 2.79 cards per game, and their hosts saw a paltry 2.68 cards per game on home soil last season, so Backing Under 3 Asian Cards at 1.950 looks attractive.
Read our full match preview for Burnley vs Watford here.
Manchester City vs Huddersfield
If any Premier League fixture can be classed as a David vs Goliath, it’s this one. The scoreline is expected to reflect The Citizens dominance, and we’re expecting the corner tally to do the same. Huddersfield were utterly hopeless at winning corners away to the top six last season, averaging just 1.33 corners per game and never taking their tally over two corners. All six of their trips away saw them win fewer than three corners, and here they’re facing a Manchester City side who conceded just 2.29 corners per game at home to the bottom 14, which happens to be the best record in the Premier League. A Huddersfield Under 2.5 Team Corners bet at 4/6 is looking fantastic, especially after Huddersfield won just two corners against Chelsea last weekend and Manchester City limited Arsenal to two at the Emirates.
Unsurprisingly, these surprisingly low figures do end up having knock on effects. Just two of Huddersfield’s six away games against the top six saw ten or more corners, and Manchester City’s home games against the bottom 14 averaged 9.93 corners per game, making an Under 10 Total Corners bet at 6/5 look an attractive option.
As we’ve already mentioned, we’re expecting the hosts to dominate in every way on Sunday. The Terriers conceded six or more corners than their opposition in four of their six away games against the top six, and Manchester City averaged 5.36 more corners than their visitors when at home against the bottom 14. This is the best record in the league, while Huddersfield’s average of 6.67 less corners than their top six opponents is the second worst in the top flight. The Citizens won seven more corners than Arsenal last weekend, and backing Manchester City -5.5 Asian Corners at 1.95 looks very good value.
Moving away from the corners, this match also offers us a nice gateway into the cards market. Surprisingly, just one of Huddersfield’s six away days against the top Premier League sides saw four or more cards brandished, with the average number of cards in these games sitting at just 2.33. This is already a good enough statistic for an Under 3.5 Cards bet at 4/5, but the fact that it’s being refereed by Andre Marriner, who showed just 2.67 yellow cards per game last season, makes it even better.
Read our full match preview for Manchester City vs Huddersfield here.
Brighton vs Manchester United
There isn’t much on offer in the way of value in the corners and cards markets at the Amex Stadium, but one in particular does stand out as a very good option. Last season, just three of Brighton’s six home games against the Premier League top six saw nine or more corners, and the statistics from last weekend help us out even further. Manchester United managed a paltry two corners at home to Leicester, with the grand total coming in at seven corners after Leicester’s attacking surge. Brighton conceded eight corners at Watford, but given they were the worst away side in the Premier League last season that’s not too surprising. They only won two at the other end though, so with just four corners between them this season and the stats from last season backing us up a bet of Under 9 Total Corners at 13/8 looks fantastic value for money.
Read our full match preview for Brighton vs Manchester United here.
Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
The 2018/19’s first Monday night Premier League clash offers us one last foray into the cards market before we clock off for the week. Crystal Palace averaged 1.83 cards per game at home against the top six last season, but that data is somewhat skewed by the hot tempered match that saw them pick up four against Manchester City. In fact, they only picked up more than one booking in three of their six hostings of the top six, and with Liverpool’s opposition in away games averaging just 1.11 cards per game backing Crystal Palace Under 1.5 Team Cards at 6/5 looks a good way to end the weekend.
Read our full match preview for Crystal Palace vs Liverpool here.
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